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Abstract
This panel discussion covered whether home prices have troughed, expectations for year-over-year home price appreciation (HPA), expectations for home prices over the long term, regional/geographical diversity in HPA trends, distressed versus non-distressed prices, shadow inventory trends, the role short sales have played in housing recovery, expectations for foreclosures and liquidations going forward, the role investors are playing in the market, prospects for buy-to-rent, and how necessary conditions for a robust housing market, such as mortgage credit availability, overall economic growth and employment, regulatory certainty, and GSE reform, are likely to evolve over the next 6–12 months.
TOPICS: Legal and regulatory issues for structured finance, legal/regulatory/public policy
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- Article
- Abstract
- What is the State of U.S. Housing? In Your View, Have Home Prices Troughed? What are Your Expectations for Aggregate Year-Over-Year HPA for the End of December 2012 and 2013? Where Do You Expect Aggregate Home Prices to Be Over the Long Term, Beyond 2013?
- Vishy Tirupattur: Do You See Regional/Geographical Diversity in HPA Trends? What Explains the Differential Rates of Recovery and Rebound Across Geographies? How Do You Think About Distressed and Non-Distressed Prices? Is There Still a Distressed Price Discount?
- Vishy Tirupattur: Shadow Inventory Trends: How Do You Define Shadow Inventory? What is Happening to Shadow Inventory in Your View, Both in Terms of Magnitude and Direction?
- Vishy Tirupattur: What is the Role that Short Sales Have Played in Housing Recovery? What are Your Expectations for Foreclosures and Liquidations Going Forward, in the Wake of the AG Settlement?
- Vishy Tirupattur: What is the Role that Investors are Playing in the Market? What are the Prospects for Buy-to-Rent in Your View? Is it a Trade or a Sustainable Business Model? Does it Move the Needle for Aggregate Housing?
- Vishy Tirupattur: What are the Necessary Conditions for a Robust Housing Market? Mortgage Credit Availability, Overall Economic Growth and Employment, Regulatory Certainty, GSE Reform? How Are these Factors Likely to Evolve Over the Next 6–12 Months?
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