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Automotive Residual Values in a Changing Environment

Eric Ibara
The Journal of Structured Finance Spring 2018, 24 (1) 14-30; DOI: https://doi.org/10.3905/jsf.2018.1.063
Eric Ibara
is the director of residual value consulting at Kelley Blue Book in Irvine, CA
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Abstract

After years of strong growth, the U.S. auto market is entering a period of marketing and technological changes. Apart from the usual changes in market demand and marketing strategies, new technologies, including electric vehicles and autonomous driving, are impacting conventional vehicles. Forecasting future used car values (residual values) in this environment is becoming especially challenging, and larger margins of error could be the result.

TOPICS: Real assets/alternative investments/private equity, other real assets

  • Copyright © 2018 Kelly Blue Book. All rights reserved. Not to be reproduced or redistributed without permission.
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The Journal of Structured Finance: 24 (1)
The Journal of Structured Finance
Vol. 24, Issue 1
Spring 2018
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Automotive Residual Values in a Changing Environment
Eric Ibara
The Journal of Structured Finance Apr 2018, 24 (1) 14-30; DOI: 10.3905/jsf.2018.1.063

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Automotive Residual Values in a Changing Environment
Eric Ibara
The Journal of Structured Finance Apr 2018, 24 (1) 14-30; DOI: 10.3905/jsf.2018.1.063
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  • Article
    • Abstract
    • EVOLUTION OF THE CURRENT MARKET
    • EMERGENCE OF SUVs
    • THE CURRENT AUTOMOTIVE MARKET
    • THE USED CAR MARKET
    • INCENTIVES
    • PROJECTION OF RESIDUAL VALUES IN 2020
    • THE RISE OF ELECTRIC VEHICLES
    • TAX CREDITS AID EV SALES
    • CALIFORNIA HELPS DRIVE EV DEVELOPMENT
    • RESIDUAL VALUES FOR ELECTRIC VEHICLES
    • AUTONOMOUS VEHICLES
    • CONCLUSION
    • ENDNOTES
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